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2024-12-14 02:47:54

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.


The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.South Asia Stock Market | Pakistan Stock Index closed up more than 3%, and Sri Lanka Stock Market continued to hit a record high. On Thursday (December 12), the KSE 100 Index of Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan closed up 3.04% to 114,000 points, which was the second consecutive trading day. Karachi's all-share index closed up 2.45% to 72,109.52 points, which also continued to hit a record high. The total share price index of Colombo, Sri Lanka, closed up 1.09% to 14,035.81 points, hitting a record high for several consecutive days. Since the close on November 25th, the cumulative increase has exceeded 9.00%. The Bangladesh DSE Generalized Index closed down 0.37% to 5105.43 points, with a cumulative decline of 1.76% this week (five consecutive natural days).According to statistics, on December 12th, as of press time, five A-share listed companies including Alaide, Zhongzhong Technology, Yiwang Yichuang, Crystal Optoelectronics and Decai Co., Ltd. disclosed their holdings.


Billionaire bill ackman: Watch America.As of the close of 23:00, the main domestic futures contracts fell more and rose less. No.20 rubber fell by nearly 3%, BR rubber fell by nearly 2%, and rubber, caustic soda, vegetable oil, rapeseed meal and hot coil fell by over 1%. In terms of increase, palm oil rose by nearly 1%.Some taxis in Kunming spontaneously cut prices to save passenger flow. Officially, personal behavior is not illegal, and unified price adjustment opinions are being sought. Recently, the relevant departments in Kunming issued a notice to solicit suggestions for preferential freight rates in view of the decreasing number of taxi customers. At present, before the deadline for consultation, some taxi drivers in Kunming have started to cut prices spontaneously, and the starting price has dropped from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. The staff of Kunming Transportation and Port and Shipping Development Center said that there is no unified price reduction for the time being, and the opinions of freight rate preferential activities are being sought. They know that some drivers cut prices spontaneously, which is a personal act and not a violation. Regarding the preferential activities, the latest news will be announced in time. (Extreme News)

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